Current Storms and Cyclone Activity in North America and Surrounding WatersCurrent StormsStorm NineteenCurrently, there is one significant storm being tracked in the Caribbean region. This storm, identified as Storm Nineteen, is located south of Cuba.
Location: South of CubaWind Speed: 25 mphStorm Nineteen is currently exhibiting wind speeds of 25 mph. While not yet classified as a major storm, it is being monitored closely due to its potential to develop further.
The storm’s current trajectory suggests it may impact areas in the Caribbean, prompting local authorities to issue advisories for residents to stay informed and prepared.
As always, it is crucial for those in the affected regions to follow updates from official weather services and heed any warnings or instructions provided by local emergency management agencies.
Tropical Weather OutlookSpecial FeaturesPotential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen: Centered near 16.1N 79.5W, approximately 230 nm ENE of Cabo Gracias A Dios on the Nicaragua/Honduras border. It is moving westward at 5 kt with an estimated central pressure of 1005 mb and maximum sustained winds of 25 kt.
The system is expected to continue moving west across the western Caribbean and stall near northern Honduras by late Friday.Forecasted to become a tropical storm on Thursday, causing significant rainfall, dangerous flash flooding, and mudslides, particularly along the Sierra La Esperanza in Honduras.Expected rainfall: Northern Honduras could receive 10-20 inches, with isolated areas getting up to 30 inches. Other regions like Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, and western Nicaragua could see 5-10 inches, with localized totals around 15 inches.Potential storm surge could raise water levels by 1 to 3 feet along the northern coast of Honduras, accompanied by large waves.For further information, visit the official High Seas Forecast and the NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory page.
Excessive Rainfall Risk in Southern Central AmericaWeather Prediction Center Guidance: Increased SW flow will bring heavy rainfall to Costa Rica and western Panama due to tropical moisture from a developing disturbance in the western Caribbean Sea. Refer to national weather agencies for more details.
Tropical WavesThe tropical wave at 78W is now classified as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen.
Monsoon Trough/ITCZExtends from Sierra Leone near 08N13W to 07N17W, continuing westward. Limited convection is observed.
Gulf of MexicoA surface trough, remnants of Rafael, extends from SE Louisiana to near 25N89W. Fresh to strong E to SE winds prevail on the eastern side of the trough.
Forecast indicates moderate to fresh winds will continue east of 90W, merging with a new front by Friday.Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen is expected to bring dangerous winds and seas to the southern Gulf.Caribbean SeaPotential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect. Fresh NE winds are noted near east-central Cuba, with moderate seas.
Forecast for Nineteen: Expected to move near the north coast of Honduras over the weekend with little change in intensity.
Atlantic OceanA cold front stretches from 31N56W to the Straits of Florida. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are observed behind the front.
A second cold front is forecast to enter NW waters Thursday night, affecting areas north of 26N with strong winds and rough seas.Data Source: National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind ScaleTD*< 39 mphMinimal effects174-95 mphVery dangerous winds296-110 mphExtremely dangerous3111-129 mphDevastating4130-156 mphCatastrophic5157+ mphCatastrophic*Tropical Depression (TD)A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph. While not a hurricane, it’s a precursor stage that can develop into a more severe storm.
Category 1Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled.
Category 2Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads.
Category 3Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.
Category 4Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months.
Category 5Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.